Canada recorded the strongest month for permanent residents since the pandemic in June 2021, according to Immigration Minister Marco Mendicino's office.
"We will do well on our commitment to reach 401,000 new permanent residents." as quoted by the minister in a new Globe and Mail article
Under the pre-defined new Immigration Levels Program 2021-2023, the Canadian government is looking to accept at least 401,000 new immigrants in a year, starting from this year. Prior to the pandemic, this target was set to 341,000 new immigrants.
These new targets are the most passionate in Canadian history. There has only been one time when Canada accepted 400,000 immigrants over a year. This happened in 1913, but Canadian immigration collapsed immediately after the start of the First World War.
The prime minister's office estimates that Canada welcomed more than 35,000 new residents in May. As per the reports, the Department of Immigration, Refugees, and Citizenship of Canada (IRCC) said its preliminary figures show that Canada welcomed 35,700 migrants last month. This number is higher than the total of Canada in recent months.
Canada began a strong start to the year. It welcomed 24,680 new immigrants in January but acquired a little complacency in the coming months. The country then approved 23,395 in February, 22,425 in March, and 21,155 in April, and 17,100 in May.
Total Canada has welcomed some 143,000 new residents by the first six months of 2021 which is very short of the speed needed to accommodate 401,000 new immigrants by the end of this year.
In order to achieve these new targets, Canada needs to accommodate another 258,000 immigrants - a total of 43,000 per month - for the rest of the year.
Accepting that much immigration over the remaining six months will be difficult but there is a possibility that can be achieved.
Prior to the pandemic, Canada welcomed a total of 25,000 to 35,000 newcomers per month. Immigration levels tend to be higher in the warmer months as more new arrivals arrive during favorable weather conditions and led to the start of the education program and business calendar in September.
In 2019, levels strengthened in the second half of the year compared to the first as Canada welcomed 180,000 new participants between July and December.
It is estimated that Canada welcomes the same level in the second half of 2021, it will end the year with more than 320,000 new residents waiting until the end of its term.
However, there are many factors that could affect Canada in getting closer to its newly designed targets.
Some 23,000 additional Confirmation of Permanent Residents (COPRs) are now eligible to travel to Canada after restrictions on them expired on May 21st.
Anyone else newly approved for permanent residence can also move to Canada immediately as a result of this convenience.
The IRCC also introduces up to six new residential streams that will allow some 90,000 international high school students and key staff to remain in Canada. IRCC’s goal is to process some 40,000 of these applications by the end of this year.
The third hiccup also came from the inner pool of permanent settlers. The IRCC has broken several Express entry records every year as it tried to accommodate the Canadian Experience Class (CEC) candidates.
The draw sizes are bigger than ever while the cuts off required were of an all-time low. According to the IRCC, some 90 percent of CEC candidates are currently living in Canada so it is easier for the department to convert them to permanent residence within the pandemic than competitors abroad. The IRCC has already issued 100,000 Express Entry invitations this year which almost increased the number twice with respect to the invitations made at the same point of time for the year 2020. A key portion of those invited during the pandemic should complete their landing forever at the end of 2021.
The minister's office told the Globe that the 45,100 permanent residence facilities regulated by the IRCC in May were the highest ever, suggesting that the IRCC has the capacity to process and finalize the number of permanent residence permits. application to achieve the levels of your goals.
There are risks in a way that could jeopardize IRCC considerations. The global coronavirus status is volatile and factors such as increased case levels and travel restrictions may get in the way. For example, Canada continues to restrict flights from its new source country, India.
The length of this restriction can be obtained in the manner of the IRCC. Further delays to COPR holders are another risk. The IRCC is currently seeking to match up with thousands of COPR holders who have completed their landing arrangements in Canada. This is a time-consuming procedure as the IRCC needs to ensure that all COPR holders are having all the necessary documents to complete the immigration process.
Regardless, the coming months should see our immigration levels higher. There is also a strong belief that the average monthly migration will hit highs at the end of the year due to a mix of more expatriates and in-Canadian applicants having completed their land.
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